The NFL returns to Europe connected Sunday successful Week 10, arsenic nan Atlanta Falcons and Bijan Robinson return connected nan Indianapolis Colts successful Berlin.
This crippled features 2 of nan champion moving backs successful nan convention successful Robinson successful Indianapolis’ Jonathan Taylor, but these teams are successful very different spots astatine this constituent successful nan 2025 season.
Indy is coming disconnected a nonaccomplishment to nan Pittsburgh Steelers successful Week 9, but it is 7-2 wide and firmly successful nan operation to decorativeness successful first spot successful nan AFC successful nan 2025 season. Meanwhile, nan Falcons person dropped 3 games successful a statement and are conscionable 3-5 successful nan 2025 campaign.
Michael Penix Jr. is coming disconnected arguably his champion crippled of nan season, throwing 3 scores against nan New England Patriots, but for nan 2nd clip this play nan Falcons missed a important footwear successful nan 4th fourth that costs them a imaginable win.
Now, Atlanta is group arsenic a sizable underdog successful Berlin arsenic nan “road” squad successful this matchup.
Can Indy bounce backmost and stay successful nan No. 1 spot successful nan AFC?
The SI Betting squad has been making picks for this world crippled each week long, and I’ve decided to put immoderate of our favorites each successful 1 spot to thief bettors make nan astir of this crippled connected Sunday morning.
Odds via DraftKings Sportsbook.
Indianapolis Colts -6.5 (-108) vs. Atlanta Falcons – Iain MacMillan
Earlier this week, SI’s NFL betting insider Iain MacMillan shared his picks for each crippled successful his Road to 272 column, and he’s backing nan Colts to screen arsenic favorites successful Berlin:
The Falcons proceed to suffer games, and I envision them imploding arsenic nan play goes connected and nan players proceed to suffer religion successful nan coaching unit that has led them astray pinch mediocre crippled plans and play calling.
This is besides a awesome clip to bargain backmost successful connected nan Colts aft their baffling Week 9 nonaccomplishment to nan Steelers. Indianapolis's level of play didn't regress successful that game, but it was intolerable to flooded six turnovers. Turnovers thin to beryllium a adaptable that will popular up from clip to clip for bully teams, but apt won't beryllium a long-lasting issue.
Indianapolis still ranks 3rd successful Net Yards per Play (+1.2), 3rd successful DVOA, first successful EPA per play, and 2nd successful Success Rate. Meanwhile, nan Falcons person regressed, particularly defensively, arsenic nan play goes on, and their mediocre violative playcalling will support them from being capable to support gait pinch nan Colts.
Finally, nan Falcons' 29th ranking successful force unreserved occurrence complaint is going to travel backmost to haunt them against Jonathan Taylor and Co.
Drake London OVER 5.5 Receptions (-140) – Peter Dewey
Falcons receiver Drake London has been connected occurrence arsenic of precocious for Michael Penix and this offense, racking up double-digit targets successful each of his past 4 games:
Even though he missed Week 8 pinch an injury, Drake London turned successful his champion crippled of nan play successful Week 9, catching 9 of his 14 targets for 118 yards and 3 touchdowns.
London has been targeted 10 aliases much times successful each of his past 4 games, reeling successful eight, 10, 4 and 9 catches successful those games. The Colts’ secondary has been shaky this season, ranking 28th successful nan NFL successful passing yards allowed.
While nan squad did adhd Sauce Gardner astatine nan waste and acquisition deadline, I don’t deliberation that stops Michael Penix from looking London’s measurement early and often. In 7 games this season, London has been targeted 77 times (11 per game), catching 47 passes for 587 yards and 5 scores.
Jonathan Taylor OVER 94.5 Rushing Yards (-112) – Peter Dewey
This is simply a awesome matchup for Jonathan Taylor, who is looking to bounce backmost aft 1 of his worst showings of nan play successful Week 9:
This is simply a terrific matchup for Taylor, who has made a fringe MVP lawsuit for nan 7-2 Colts this season.
Taylor is averaging 99.4 rushing yards per game, picking up complete 100 yards successful 4 of his 9 games and 94 aliases much yards successful 5 of them. While he hasn’t cleared this prop arsenic overmuch arsenic you’d expect, he is taking connected a anemic Atlanta tally defense connected Sunday.
The Falcons rank 28th successful nan NFL successful EPA/Rush this season, and they’ve allowed 4.4 yards per transportation and 995 rushing yards done 8 games.
Taylor is going to beryllium a activity equine erstwhile again successful Week 10, and I wouldn't beryllium shocked if nan Colts thin connected him a small much aft Daniel Jones had a high-turnover showing successful Week 9.
Michael Pittman Anytime TD (+160) – Ryan Gilbert
If you’re looking for an anytime touchdown scorer, SI Betting’s Ryan Gilbert is eyeing a Colts receiver to deed salary ungraded successful Berlin:
Michael Pittman leads Colts wide receivers pinch 52 catches connected 68 targets for 561 yards and six touchdowns this season. He scored successful 2 consecutive games earlier being held retired of nan extremity area past week, and besides had a three-game streak earlier this season.
The Falcons person allowed aggregate passing touchdowns successful 5 games this season, including 2 to Drake Maye and 4 to Tua Tagovailoa successful caller weeks.
Stefon Diggs and DeMario Douglas some had touchdown catches past week. Pittman should beryllium capable to haul 1 successful and we’re getting a decent value of +160.
Odds refresh periodically and are taxable to change.
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