College Football Upset Picks For Week 10 (nc State Will Hand Georgia Tech Its First Loss)

Upset bettors were happy past week, particularly those who publication my upset picks article, cashing successful connected some Memphis astatine +180 and BYU astatine +130.

Let's effort to support nan bully times rolling this week arsenic I erstwhile again person 3 upset bets for Week 10 of nan 2025 assemblage shot play that I'm fresh to springiness nan people, including NC State to manus Georgia Tech its first nonaccomplishment of nan season. Let's dive into them.

Odds via Caesars Sportsbook

Vanderbilt +118 vs. Texas

Vanderbilt still isn't getting nan respect it deserves. This Commodores squad ranks 11th successful nan state successful nett occurrence complaint astatine +9.8%, which is good supra Texas, which comes successful astatine 79th successful that authorities astatine conscionable +0.7%. It's clip for america arsenic bettors to admit this Longhorns squad simply didn't move retired arsenic advertised, and we should beryllium betting connected their games pinch that thought successful mind.

Oklahoma +130 vs. Tennessee

This is simply a crippled betwixt 1 of nan champion defenses successful nan state and 1 of nan worst, yet it's nan squad pinch nan amended defense that's getting 3 points. Oklahoma enters this week ranking first successful adjusted force EPA per play and 2nd successful force yards per play, allowing conscionable 4.05 yards per snap. Meanwhile, nan Tennessee defense ranks 125th successful adjusted force EPA per play and 75th successful force yards per play, allowing 5.78 yards per snap. I'll stake connected Oklahoma bouncing backmost pinch an upset triumph against nan Vols.

NC State +180 vs. Georgia Tech

The regression is going to travel soon for Georgia Tech. Apologies to fans of nan Yellow Jackets, but their underlying metrics simply don't adhd up. For example, Georgia Tech comes into this week ranking 65th successful adjusted EPA per play and 49th successful Net Success Rate. NC State ranks 51st and 25th successful those 2 respective metrics. The cardinal to beating Georgia Tech is stopping nan run, and NC State has done a coagulated occupation of doing that this season, allowing 4.4 yards per transportation and ranking 10th successful force unreserved occurrence rate. Not only do nan Wolfpack person wide amended metrics, but NC State besides has a stylistic advantage based connected its tally defense.

Odds refresh periodically and are taxable to change.

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You tin cheque retired each of Iain's bets here!