College Football Week 10 Best Bets (expect Plenty Of Points In Rutgers Vs. Illinois)

Week 10 of nan assemblage shot regular play is here, and it's clip for america to make nan astir of it, because earlier we cognize it, we're already going to beryllium successful vessel season.

The bully news is, we person a loaded slate of games to watch and stake connected this week. In this article, I'm going to break down my champion bets for Week 10 action, including a stake for Friday night's ACC showdown betwixt UNC and Syracuse, on pinch a stake connected nan full for Saturday's crippled betwixt Illinois and Rutgers.

Odds via Caesars Sportsbook

UNC vs. Syracuse Prediction

I'm complete this UNC team. The Bill Belichick era is quickly turning into a disaster, and nan Tar Heels travel into this crippled ranking 119th successful adjusted EPA per play, which is worse than Syracuse, which comes successful 96th. Where we spot nan biggest quality is offense, pinch nan Orange coming successful astatine 81st successful adjusted EPA per play connected offense, while UNC ranks 125th. I'm amazed Syracuse isn't a bigger favorite. I'll backmost nan Orange connected their location field.

Pick: Syracuse -2.5 (-110)

Rutgers vs. Illinois Prediction

Rutgers and Illinois person 2 of nan worst defenses successful assemblage shot this season. The Fighting Illini rank 127th successful opponent-adjusted EPA per play, while Rutgers is moreover worse, ranking 135th successful that stat. Air Force is nan only defense that ranks worse successful adjusted EPA than nan Scarlet Knights. As bad arsenic Rutgers is defensively, its discourtesy is 26th successful adjusted EPA per play.

This crippled is mounting up to beryllium an absolute shootout.

Pick: OVER 62 (-110)

Georgia Tech vs. NC State Prediction

In this week's version of my best upset picks article, I collapsed down why I'm breaking NC State to return down undefeated Georgia Tech connected Saturday:

The regression is going to travel soon for Georgia Tech. Apologies to fans of nan Yellow Jackets, but their underlying metrics simply don't adhd up. For example, Georgia Tech comes into this week ranking 65th successful adjusted EPA per play and 49th successful Net Success Rate. NC State ranks 51st and 25th successful those 2 respective metrics. The cardinal to beating Georgia Tech is stopping nan run, and NC State has done a coagulated occupation of doing that this season, allowing 4.4 yards per transportation and ranking 10th successful force unreserved occurrence rate. Not only do nan Wolfpack person wide amended metrics, but NC State besides has a stylistic advantage based connected its tally defense.

Pick: NC State +180

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