First To Forde: Best Picks Against The Spread For College Football Week 10

Week 9 was nan first clip successful a while that some Pat Forde and Iain MacMillan had a winning play successful assemblage football, each going 3-2 pinch their picks. Forde is starting to adjacent successful connected nan play win, now conscionable 14 correct picks against nan dispersed distant from winning nan 2025 version of nan First to Forde.

We move connected to Week 10, and some competitors person settled connected their apical 5 picks for this weekend's assemblage shot action. Let's dive into them.

Georgia -7 vs. Florida (via Caesars)

The Gators are successful modulation from a coaching standpoint, and nan Bulldogs are piecing things together. Gunner Stockton is nan much reliable backmost successful this matchup, coming disconnected a career-best crippled against Mississippi.

California +4.5 vs. Virginia (via FanDuel)

The Cavaliers person been blessed by nan gridiron gods successful a mates of games this play and are owed for nan breaks to moreover out. That, positive nan agelong travel, adds up to a Bay Area trap game.

San Diego State -9.5 vs. Wyoming (via FanDuel)

The Aztecs are a basking team, connected a five-game winning streak and dominating Mountain West competition. The MWC’s champion defense will unopen down a beautiful mean Wyoming offense.

Georgia Tech -5.5 astatine NC State (via DraftKings)

The Wolfpack person mislaid their way, pinch a four-game losing streak against FBS competition. Meanwhile, nan Yellow Jackets person their eyes connected nan ACC prize. Haynes King has nan look of a feline who won’t fto his squad lose.

CIncinnati +9.5 astatine Utah (via BetMGM)

This mightiness beryllium nan spot wherever nan Bearcats travel up, but it should beryllium a adjacent crippled either way. The dispersed is excessively big.

Iain's Week 10 Picks

Vanderbilt +2.5 vs. Texas (via FanDuel)

Vanderbilt still isn't getting nan respect it deserves. This Commodores squad ranks 11th successful nan state successful nett occurrence complaint astatine +9.8%, which is good supra Texas, which comes successful astatine 79th successful that authorities astatine conscionable +0.7%. It's clip for america arsenic bettors to admit this Longhorns squad simply didn't move retired arsenic advertised, and we should beryllium betting connected their games pinch that thought successful mind.

Maryland +22.5 vs. Indiana (via FanDuel)

The Maryland defense is bully capable to support this crippled wrong nan 22.5-point spread, particularly connected its location field. The Terps rank 20th successful force yards per play (4.7), 14th successful force adjusted EPA per play, and 14th successful force occurrence rate. It's besides worthy noting that Indiana is simply a run-first offense, and Maryland has allowed conscionable 3.7 yards per carry. As agelong arsenic nan Terps' discourtesy tin put up immoderate points connected nan board, Maryland will beryllium successful a awesome spot to cover.

Nebraska +6.5 vs. USC (via BetMGM)

USC has struggled erstwhile playing connected nan roadworthy this season. The Trojans person a constituent differential of +32.8 astatine location but conscionable +1.3 connected nan road. The Trojans' defense has besides struggled this season, ranking 108th successful force adjusted EPA. Meanwhile, nan Nebraska defense comes successful astatine 54th successful that stat. Don't place nan Cornhuskers this week.

Oklahoma +3.5 vs. Tennessee (via FanDuel)

This is simply a crippled betwixt 1 of nan champion defenses successful nan state and 1 of nan worst, yet it's nan squad pinch nan amended defense that's getting 3 points. Oklahoma enters this week ranking first successful adjusted force EPA per play and 2nd successful force yards per play, allowing conscionable 4.05 yards per snap. Meanwhile, nan Tennessee defense ranks 125th successful adjusted force EPA per play and 75th successful force yards per play, allowing 5.78 yards per snap. I'll stake connected Oklahoma bouncing backmost pinch an upset triumph against nan Vols.

NC State +5.5 vs. Georgia Tech (via FanDuel)

The regression is going to travel soon for Georgia Tech. Apologies to fans of nan Yellow Jackets, but their underlying metrics simply don't adhd up. For example, Georgia Tech comes into this week ranking 65th successful adjusted EPA per play and 49th successful Net Success Rate. NC State ranks 51st and 25th successful those 2 respective metrics. The cardinal to beating Georgia Tech is stopping nan run, and NC State has done a coagulated occupation of doing that this season, allowing 4.4 yards per transportation and ranking 10th successful force unreserved occurrence rate. Not only do nan Wolfpack person wide amended metrics, but NC State besides has a stylistic advantage based connected its tally defense.

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