It's been a disastrous mates of weeks for nan Player Prop Countdown. We went 3-7 for -4.09 units successful Week 7, which drops america down to 31-38-1 for -10.38 units connected nan season.
The bully news is we still person complete half nan play near to find immoderate momentum, truthful let's effort to locomotion distant from Week 8 pinch a profit. Let's dive into my apical 10 subordinate props for nan Week 8 slate.
All likelihood from FanDuel Sportsbook
10) Rhamondre Stevenson UNDER 50.5 Rushing Yards (-114)
The New England Patriots' moving backmost has a reliable matchup up of him erstwhile he takes connected a Cleveland Browns defense that ranks 2nd successful nan NFL successful some force unreserved EPA and force unreserved occurrence rate. This is besides a awesome sell-high spot connected Stevenson aft an 88-yard capacity past week. He only reached 50+ rushing yards erstwhile earlier past week.
9) Mason Taylor Anytime Touchdown (+280)
The New York Jets return connected a Cincinnati Bengals squad this week that allows nan 4th astir receptions, 2nd astir receiving yards, and nan astir receiving touchdowns to tight ends this season. That could lead to a large crippled by nan Jets' rookie tight end, Mason Taylor, who is 2nd successful each receiving categories for nan Jets down only Garrett Wilson. He's much than worthy a stake astatine his +280 value tag.
8) James Cook OVER 71.5 Rushing Yards (-114)
The Buffalo Bills are going to get backmost to their breadstuff and food aft suffering 2 consecutive losses up of their Week 7 BYE. Running nan shot pinch their moving back, that's averaging 5.0 yards per carry, seems to beryllium a smart move against a not-so-great Panthers team. Cook has gone complete 71.5 rushing yards successful 4 of his six starts this season.
7) Bijan Robinson Longest Rush OVER 19.5 Yards (-110)
The Miami Dolphins person fixed up nan astir 20+ gait runs this season, pinch 10, which is 3 much than immoderate different team. Now, they person to effort to slow down arguably nan champion moving backmost successful nan league. Bijan Robinson is averaging 5.4 yards per transportation this season. I envision him ripping disconnected a 20+ gait tally against this Dolphins defense.
6) Mac Jones UNDER 219.5 Passing Yards (-114)
We could spot immoderate regression coming for Mac Jones of nan 49ers this week. He only threw for 152 passing yards past week, and now he has to return connected an highly reliable Texans defense. Houston ranks first successful force dropback EPA and 2nd successful force dropback occurrence rate, and allows nan fifth-fewest yards per walk effort astatine 5.8.
5) Dak Prescott UNDER 22.5 Completions (-114)
Dak Prescott has had plentifulness of awesome starts this season, but he has a reliable matchup up of him successful Denver this week. The Broncos defense has nan lowest completion percent successful nan NFL astatine 55.86% while besides allowing nan third-fewest full completions per crippled astatine 17.7. It's besides worthy noting that Prescott has grounded to spell complete this number successful 3 starts already this season.
4) Calvin Ridley UNDER 3.5 Receptions (-150)
Calvin Ridley has been downright bad this season. He already has 4 drops connected nan play and is averaging conscionable 2.66 receptions per game. Now, he'll apt beryllium matched up pinch Charvarius Ward of nan Colts, who has nan champion sum people amongst cornerbacks, according to PFF.com. This is simply a nightmare business for Ridley.
3) Tua Tagovailoa Longest Completion UNDER 32.5 Yards (-115)
Tua Tagovailoa's days arsenic nan starting backmost for nan Miami Dolphins whitethorn beryllium numbered. Betting against him seems to beryllium a beardown strategy, and nan measurement I'm going to do it is to stake nan UNDER connected his longest completion of nan crippled against nan Falcons. Tagovailoa has nan sixth-lowest intended aerial yards per walk effort successful nan NFL astatine 6.7. He has besides completed a walk of complete 30 yards successful conscionable 3 of his games. Now, he has to look a Falcons defense that has allowed nan fewest walk plays of 20+ yards (eight) and only 2 walk plays of 40+ yards.
2) Jacory Croskey-Merritt OVER 45.5 Rushing Yards (-115)
The Commanders' spot connected Monday Night Football lines up pinch nan Chiefs' weakness. The Chiefs let 4.5 yards per carry, while ranking 23rd successful force unreserved EPA and 21st successful force unreserved occurrence rate. The Commanders' discourtesy ranks wrong nan apical 10 successful some those stats, starring nan NFL successful yards per transportation astatine 5.4.
1) Michael Penix Jr. to Throw an Interception (+125)
Michael Penix Jr. leads nan NFL successful bad propulsion percentage, pinch 25% of his throws being considered "bad". Despite that, he has only thrown 3 interceptions this season. If he continues to propulsion that galore bad throws each game, his interceptions are going to skyrocket. At +125 odds, this is simply a awesome stake for Penix Jr. to propulsion a pick.
Odds refresh periodically and are taxable to change.
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You tin cheque retired each of Iain's bets here!
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